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Wigan U18 vs Southampton U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Southampton U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wigan U18
15%
Draws
42%
Southampton U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wigan U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Wigan U18 haven't matched Southampton U18's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Southampton U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southampton U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Wigan U18 Clean Sheet 18%
Southampton U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wigan U18 Southampton U18
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2017 FA Youth Cup
Wigan U18 vs Southampton U18
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wigan U18 36 / 100
Southampton U18 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wigan U18 Southampton U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wigan U18's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Defensive concern: Southampton U18 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Wigan U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Southampton U18
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wigan U18

(Home)
28 Feb
Manchester United U18
2 : 1
Wigan U18
05 Feb
Wigan U18
4 : 0
Birmingham U18
08 Jan
Wigan U18
2 : 0
Tottenham U18
13 Feb
Liverpool U18
2 : 0
Wigan U18
12 Jan
Hull U18
2 : 6
Wigan U18
Page 1 of 2

Southampton U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Southampton U18
2 : 3
Reading U18
12 Sept
Ipswich U18
1 : 4
Southampton U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0
Southampton U18
29 Aug
Southampton U18
7 : 4
Norwich U18
22 Aug
Crystal Palace U18
1 : 4
Southampton U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Blackburn U18 0
Aston Villa U18 1
FC Broxbourne Borough U18 1
Yeovil U18 0
Manchester City U18 3
Liverpool U18 1
Wigan U18 1
Southampton U18 2
Preston U18 1
Everton U18 0
AFC Wimbledon U18 3
Hull U18 0
Stoke City U18 4
Nottingham U18 1
Brighton U18 2
Cambridge Utd U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Shrewsbury U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Swansea U18 1
QPR U18 1
Tottenham U18 4
Burnley U18 0
Norwich U18 4
Middlesbrough U18 2
Fulham U18 1
Leicester U18 2
Carlisle U18 1
Birmingham U18 0
Chelsea U18 5
Sheffield Wed U18 3
Gillingham U18 0
1/8-finals
Aston Villa U18 7
FC Broxbourne Borough U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Southampton U18 0
Preston U18 3
AFC Wimbledon U18 2
Stoke City U18 3
Brighton U18 2
Sunderland U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 4
Tottenham U18 2
Norwich U18 0
Middlesbrough U18 0
Leicester U18 1
Chelsea U18 4
Sheffield Wed U18 0
Quarter-finals
Aston Villa U18 1
Manchester City U18 2
Preston U18 1
Stoke City U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Tottenham U18 5
Leicester U18 0
Chelsea U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 9
Stoke City U18 2
Tottenham U18 2
Chelsea U18 9
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Chelsea U18 6