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Stadium Background

Wigan vs Hemel Hempstead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026 The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan
Sat, Nov 1, 2025
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Wright C.
Assist: Mullin P.
56'
Sub
Wright C. In: McManaman C.
Out: Wright C.
56'
Sub
Cooper O. In: Smith M.
Out: Cooper O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Wigan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Wigan
35%
Draws
30%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Wigan haven't matched Hemel Hempstead's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hemel Hempstead's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Hemel Hempstead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wigan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Wigan Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wigan Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Wigan vs Hemel Hempstead
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hemel Hempstead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wigan 28 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wigan Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemel Hempstead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hemel Hempstead conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Wigan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Wigan found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Wigan VS Hemel Hempstead
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wigan

(Home)
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2
Blackpool
19 Sept
Wigan
0 : 1
Wycombe
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Wigan
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4
Stockport County
02 Sept
Wigan
3 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
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Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
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TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
TBD -
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TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
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Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1