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Stadium Background

Wigan vs Mansfield

England England

League One 2025/2026 The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Wright C.
Assist: Borges Rodrigues R.
28' Event
Akins L.
Assist: Sweeney R.
43'
Taylor J.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Wigan and Mansfield finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wigan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Wigan
28%
Draws
50%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mansfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Mansfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mansfield taking it.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Wigan Clean Sheet 17%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wigan Mansfield
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 League One
Wigan vs Mansfield
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 League One
Mansfield vs Wigan
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 League One
Mansfield vs Wigan
0:0
Jan 14, 2025 FA Cup
Mansfield vs Wigan
0:2
Oct 22, 2024 League One
Wigan vs Mansfield
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Akins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wigan 23 / 100
Mansfield 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wigan Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wigan scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Mansfield let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Wigan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wigan VS Mansfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wigan

(Home)
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3
Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
02 May
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

Mansfield

(Away)
28 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 4
Mansfield
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2
Mansfield
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
28 Apr
Peterborough
0 : 0
Mansfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)