Sport Picks
Wigan vs Notts County
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan 
Match Events
10'
10'
Mullin P.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Brenan T.
29'
29'
Sub
Mabaya I. In: Murray F.
Out: Mabaya I.
AI Match Summary
Wigan in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wigan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Notts County have won more games recently than Wigan.
- Win probability leans Wigan's way, sitting at 70%.
- Notts County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Wigan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Wigan Clean Sheet 68%
Notts County Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wigan | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Wigan vs Notts County
1:0
Feb 2, 2010 FA Cup
Wigan vs Notts County
0:2
Jan 23, 2010 FA Cup
Notts County vs Wigan
2:2
Aug 26, 2008 EFL Cup
Wigan vs Notts County
4:0
Jan 1, 2003 League One
Wigan vs Notts County
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wigan 77 / 100
Notts County 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wigan Notts County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wigan scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Notts County has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Notts County registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wigan VS Notts County
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wigan
(Home) 08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1 Wigan
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
31 Jul
Southport
0 : 0 Wigan
25 Jul
AFC Fylde
0 : 3 Wigan
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
25 Apr
Wigan
0 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
14 Apr
Wigan
3 : 0 Rotherham
11 Apr
Wigan
2 : 1 Mansfield
02 Apr
Wigan
0 : 0 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 3
Notts County
(Away) 08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Notts County
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1 Notts County
11 Jul
Viborg
2 : 0 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Notts County
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1 Notts County
11 Jul
Viborg
2 : 0 Notts County
04 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 5 Notts County
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
