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Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Lidl Arena, Wil
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wil host Rapperswil-Jona in the Challenge League. This has Rapperswil-Jona written all over it on paper. Wil have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Rapperswil-Jona's 2 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Rapperswil-Jona slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 4:5. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Rapperswil-Jona. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Wil
30%
Draws
41%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rapperswil-Jona come out ahead of Wil on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Rapperswil-Jona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wil Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
4:5
Apr 11, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
2:0
Feb 13, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
1:2
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 20 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapperswil-Jona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Wil scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Wil remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Rapperswil-Jona
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0
Wil
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
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Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)