Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wil vs Xamax

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Lidl Arena, Wil
Wil Logo

Wil

1 - 2
FT
Xamax Logo

Xamax

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nvendo V.
Assist: Mulaj L.
7'
Sub
Jacovic D. In: Rupp N.
Out: Jacovic D.
28' Event
Weber P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Xamax in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xamax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Wil
30%
Draws
35%
Xamax
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Xamax have won more games recently than Wil.
  • Wil are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Xamax
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Xamax
1:2
Apr 7, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Xamax
5:2
Mar 1, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Wil
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Xamax
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Wil
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Weber P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Xamax Compare

Top Goalscorer Nvendo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 34 / 100
Xamax 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Xamax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Wil scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Wil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Xamax
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
22 Aug
Wil
0 : 2
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

Xamax

(Away)
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Xamax
21 Aug
Xamax
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 8 6 2 0 17:3 20
2 Winterthur 8 4 3 1 17:7 15
3 Yverdon 8 4 3 1 14:9 15
4 Aarau 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
5 Xamax 8 4 0 4 12:14 12
6 Kriens 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Etoile-Carouge 8 2 3 3 7:8 9
8 Rapperswil-Jona 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
9 Wil 8 1 3 4 10:21 6
10 Stade Nyonnais 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)