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Wil vs Yverdon

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Lidl Arena, Wil
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Marchesano A.
Assist: Pasche E.
17'
Diet Y. B.
34'
Tasar V.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Wil and Yverdon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yverdon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Wil
20%
Draws
36%
Yverdon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Medium Confidence
  • Wil haven't matched Yverdon's recent run of results.
  • Yverdon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Yverdon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wil Yverdon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Yverdon
0:1
Mar 13, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Wil
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Yverdon
2:4
Aug 22, 2025 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Wil
4:0
May 27, 2023 Challenge League
Wil vs Yverdon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Yverdon Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchesano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wil 26 / 100
Yverdon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wil Yverdon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wil's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Yverdon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Wil stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wil VS Yverdon
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wil

(Home)
07 Aug
Winterthur
5 : 0
Wil
31 Jul
Wil
1 : 2
Xamax
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
18 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Bruhl SG
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
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Yverdon

(Away)
07 Aug
Kriens
0 : 2
Yverdon
31 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2
Yverdon
18 Jul
Lausanne
3 : 0
Yverdon
12 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 3
Sion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)