Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Willem II vs Nijmegen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Willem II host Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Nijmegen have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Willem II have conceded 0.88 and scored 2.63. Head-to-head, Willem II have won 1 to Nijmegen's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.56, favoring Willem II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Willem II
22%
Draws
18%
Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Willem II have won more games recently than Nijmegen.
  • Win probability leans Willem II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Willem II Clean Sheet 15%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willem II Nijmegen
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Willem II
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Nijmegen
4:1
Dec 22, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Nijmegen
0:1
Sep 12, 2021 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Willem II
0:0
Jan 15, 2017 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Nijmegen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willem II 57 / 100
Nijmegen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willem II Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Nijmegen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Willem II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Willem II VS Nijmegen
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Willem II

(Home)
25 Jul
Willem II
1 : 0
KV Mechelen
11 Jul
Willem II
2 : 2
Eindhoven FC
04 Jul
Willem II
1 : 2
Quick Boys
29 Jun
RKDSV
0 : 11
Willem II
23 May
FC Volendam
1 : 3
Willem II
Page 1 of 6

Nijmegen

(Away)
25 Jul
Nijmegen
0 : 1
Elversberg
18 Jul
Nijmegen
7 : 0
Al Fayha
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
08 Jul
Nijmegen
2 : 3
Duisburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)