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Willemstad vs UNDEBA

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Willemstad Logo

Willemstad

4 - 0
FT
UNDEBA Logo

UNDEBA

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Promé Divishon game between Willemstad and UNDEBA finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Willemstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Willemstad
15%
Draws
46%
UNDEBA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNDEBA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Willemstad come out ahead of UNDEBA on wins alone.
  • Willemstad are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Willemstad Clean Sheet 20%
UNDEBA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willemstad UNDEBA
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Willemstad
0:0
Nov 11, 2023 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs UNDEBA
4:0
Aug 21, 2022 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Willemstad
1:0
May 29, 2022 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs UNDEBA
4:2
Oct 9, 2021 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs UNDEBA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willemstad 58 / 100
UNDEBA 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willemstad UNDEBA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Willemstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willemstad's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: UNDEBA conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Willemstad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Willemstad VS UNDEBA
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Willemstad

(Home)
28 Jul
Willemstad
1 : 2
Delfines Del Este
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
18 Feb
Willemstad
2 : 1
CSD Barber
21 Jan
Jong Holland
1 : 0
Willemstad
14 Jan
Willemstad
0 : 1
Victory Boys
Page 1 of 6

UNDEBA

(Away)
17 Feb
Jong Colombia
3 : 0
UNDEBA
20 Jan
CSD Barber
3 : 4
UNDEBA
14 Jan
UNDEBA
4 : 2
Salina
16 Dec
Centro Dominguito
2 : 2
UNDEBA
10 Dec
UNDEBA
2 : 3
SUBT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Colombia 14 9 2 3 38:16 29
2 Scherpenheuvel 15 7 7 1 22:12 28
3 Centro Dominguito 15 7 6 2 25:17 27
4 Willemstad 14 8 2 4 24:14 26
5 Jong Holland 14 7 2 5 33:16 23
6 Victory Boys 14 4 6 4 18:16 18
7 SUBT 14 5 1 8 20:29 16
8 UNDEBA 14 4 3 7 23:39 15
9 Salina 14 2 2 10 17:37 8
10 CSD Barber 14 2 1 11 15:39 7
Promotion - Promé Divishon (Winners stage)