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Willy Serrato vs Cesar Vallejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cesar Vallejo in this Segunda Division 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cesar Vallejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Willy Serrato
15%
Draws
85%
Cesar Vallejo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesar Vallejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cesar Vallejo lately — more wins on the board than Willy Serrato.
  • Model gives Cesar Vallejo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cesar Vallejo here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 20%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willy Serrato Cesar Vallejo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.16
Goals Conceded 4.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2018 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Cesar Vallejo
0:3
Jul 8, 2018 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Willy Serrato
2:0
Oct 8, 2017 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Cesar Vallejo
0:5
Jun 17, 2017 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Willy Serrato
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willy Serrato 10 / 100
Cesar Vallejo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willy Serrato Cesar Vallejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesar Vallejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesar Vallejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Willy Serrato found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Cesar Vallejo's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cesar Vallejo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Willy Serrato

(Home)
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0
Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1
Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1
Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 6

Cesar Vallejo

(Away)
07 Oct
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesar Vallejo 28 19 5 4 55:19 62
2 Carlos Mannucci 28 16 7 5 66:30 55
3 Cienciano 28 17 4 7 63:30 55
4 Union Huaral 28 14 6 8 58:39 48
5 Hualgayoc 28 13 9 6 49:38 48
6 Juan Aurich 28 14 5 9 51:27 47
7 Alianza Atl. 28 14 5 9 48:37 47
8 Atletico Grau 28 12 6 10 58:42 42
9 Deportivo Coopsol 28 9 10 9 46:32 37
10 Los Chankas 28 11 4 13 38:36 37
11 Los Caimanes 28 7 6 15 38:57 27
12 Sport Victoria 28 6 7 15 34:54 25
13 Sport Loreto 28 6 6 16 38:68 24
14 Alfredo Salinas 28 5 6 17 25:66 21
15 Willy Serrato 28 2 4 22 23:115 10
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)