Sport Picks

Peru

Segunda Division 2017

Willy Serrato

3 - 3

Defensor La Bocana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2017 game between Willy Serrato and Defensor La Bocana finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Willy Serrato

Draws

90%

Defensor La Bocana

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defensor La Bocana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Willy Serrato haven't matched Defensor La Bocana's recent run of results.
Defensor La Bocana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Segunda Division 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 10%

Defensor La Bocana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Willy Serrato	Defensor La Bocana
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	2	10
Draws	5	3
Losses	25	17
Goals Scored	1.13	0.67
Goals Conceded	3.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2017 Liga 2

Willy Serrato vs Defensor La Bocana

3:3

Jun 4, 2017 Liga 2

Defensor La Bocana vs Willy Serrato

6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willy Serrato 10 / 100

Defensor La Bocana 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Willy Serrato Defensor La Bocana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor La Bocana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Away concern: Defensor La Bocana has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Willy Serrato scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Willy Serrato VS Defensor La Bocana

1.13 Goals Scored 0.67

3.5 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 67%

75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Willy Serrato

(Home)

28 Oct

Union Huaral

11 : 0

Willy Serrato

21 Oct

Willy Serrato

0 : 3

Cesar Vallejo

14 Oct

Sport Victoria

8 : 1

Willy Serrato

29 Sept

Willy Serrato

1 : 3

Atletico Grau

23 Sept

Cienciano

9 : 1

Willy Serrato

Page 1 of 7

Defensor La Bocana

(Away)

04 Dec

Defensor La Bocana

0 : 2

Comerciantes FC

30 Nov

Defensor La Bocana

0 : 3

Deportivo Garcilaso

27 Nov

Defensor La Bocana

2 : 1

Atl. Bruces

18 Nov

Los Caimanes

3 : 1

Defensor La Bocana

12 Nov

Defensor La Bocana

6 : 1

Sport Victoria

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Boys	28	16	9	3	54:23	57
2	Cesar Vallejo	28	16	9	3	76:29	57
3	Hualgayoc	28	14	6	8	70:44	46
4	Union Huaral	28	14	3	11	56:57	45
5	Los Chankas	28	11	11	6	42:27	44
6	Cienciano	28	13	8	7	61:41	43
7	Carlos Mannucci	28	10	11	7	53:38	41
8	Sport Victoria	28	10	7	11	36:44	37
9	Deportivo Coopsol	27	8	11	8	45:46	35
10	Sport Loreto	28	9	6	13	39:48	33
11	Alfredo Salinas	27	7	10	10	41:53	27
12	Willy Serrato	28	6	6	16	33:68	24
13	Los Caimanes	28	8	4	16	41:59	22
14	Defensor La Bocana	28	9	3	16	49:73	16
15	Sport Ancash	28	3	6	19	27:73	13

Promotion - Primera Division 2018 (Apertura)