Sport Picks
Willy Serrato vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Segunda Division 2014 
AI Match Summary
Willy Serrato host Defensor San Alejandro in the Segunda Division 2014. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Willy Serrato have averaged 1.07 scored and 3.09 conceded recently, against Defensor San Alejandro's 1.23 scored and 1.23 conceded. Past meetings favor Willy Serrato slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 7, 2014, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.17 - 2.31) back Defensor San Alejandro to edge this. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Defensor San Alejandro come out ahead of Willy Serrato on wins alone.
- Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Willy Serrato | Defensor San Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 43 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 26 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.09 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Willy Serrato found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (43 games).
Defensor San Alejandro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Defensor San Alejandro lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Willy Serrato
(Home)Defensor San Alejandro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Municipal | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:29 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Coopsol | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 53:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Carlos Mannucci | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 46:32 | 55 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Willy Serrato | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Union Huaral | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Defensor San Alejandro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:37 | 39 |
| 8 | Atl. Minero | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico Torino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Pacifico | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:44 | 35 |
| 11 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Sport Victoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Jose Galvez | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Walter Ormeno | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21:46 | 19 |
