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Willy Serrato vs Sport Loreto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Loreto in this Segunda Division 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Loreto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Willy Serrato
15%
Draws
85%
Sport Loreto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Loreto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport Loreto lately — more wins on the board than Willy Serrato.
  • Model gives Sport Loreto a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sport Loreto here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 19%
Sport Loreto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willy Serrato Sport Loreto
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.34
Goals Conceded 4.03 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2018 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Sport Loreto
1:4
May 6, 2018 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Willy Serrato
2:1
Aug 13, 2017 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Sport Loreto
0:1
Apr 23, 2017 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Willy Serrato
3:0
Sep 18, 2016 Liga 2
Sport Loreto vs Willy Serrato
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willy Serrato 10 / 100
Sport Loreto 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willy Serrato Sport Loreto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Loreto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Loreto let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sport Loreto has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Willy Serrato's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sport Loreto
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Willy Serrato

(Home)
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0
Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1
Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1
Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 6

Sport Loreto

(Away)
10 Nov
Sport Loreto
0 : 4
Juan Aurich
03 Nov
Atletico Grau
4 : 1
Sport Loreto
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
20 Oct
Sport Loreto
0 : 2
Cienciano
12 Oct
Union Huaral
1 : 0
Sport Loreto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesar Vallejo 28 19 5 4 55:19 62
2 Carlos Mannucci 28 16 7 5 66:30 55
3 Cienciano 28 17 4 7 63:30 55
4 Union Huaral 28 14 6 8 58:39 48
5 Hualgayoc 28 13 9 6 49:38 48
6 Juan Aurich 28 14 5 9 51:27 47
7 Alianza Atl. 28 14 5 9 48:37 47
8 Atletico Grau 28 12 6 10 58:42 42
9 Deportivo Coopsol 28 9 10 9 46:32 37
10 Los Chankas 28 11 4 13 38:36 37
11 Los Caimanes 28 7 6 15 38:57 27
12 Sport Victoria 28 6 7 15 34:54 25
13 Sport Loreto 28 6 6 16 38:68 24
14 Alfredo Salinas 28 5 6 17 25:66 21
15 Willy Serrato 28 2 4 22 23:115 10
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)