Sport Picks
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025 Stade Am Petz, Wiltz 
Match Events
31'
31'
Corral K.
40'
40'
Romeyns B.
79'
79'
Peugnet V.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Wiltz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Progres Niedercorn come out ahead of Wiltz on wins alone.
- Progres Niedercorn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Progres Niedercorn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Progres Niedercorn have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wiltz | Progres Niedercorn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
3:2
Mar 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Wiltz
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wiltz Compare
Top Goalscorer Romeyns B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saidi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Progres Niedercorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Corral K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peugnet V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wiltz 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wiltz Progres Niedercorn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wiltz scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Progres Niedercorn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 37 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Wiltz has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wiltz VS Progres Niedercorn
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Wiltz
(Home) 20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6 Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2 Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1 Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
15 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Differdange
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
25 Jul
Wiltz
0 : 9 Eupen
Page 1 of 4
Progres Niedercorn
(Away) 20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7 Progres Niedercorn
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2 Progres Niedercorn
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
16 Aug
Bissen
0 : 4 Progres Niedercorn
09 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3
