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Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025 Stade Am Petz, Wiltz
Wiltz Logo

Wiltz

3 - 2
FT
Progres Niedercorn Logo

Progres Niedercorn

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Corral K.
40' Event
Romeyns B.
79' Event
Peugnet V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Wiltz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Wiltz
20%
Draws
57%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wiltz come out ahead of Progres Niedercorn on wins alone.
  • Progres Niedercorn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Wiltz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Progres Niedercorn have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 12%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wiltz Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.97 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.28 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
3:2
Mar 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Wiltz
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Progres Niedercorn
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Wiltz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wiltz Compare

Top Goalscorer Romeyns B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saidi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

Progres Niedercorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peugnet V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wiltz 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wiltz Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Wiltz scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Wiltz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wiltz VS Progres Niedercorn
1.43 Goals Scored 0.88
2.57 Goals Conceded 3.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wiltz

(Home)
23 Aug
Victoria Rosport
4 : 0
Wiltz
15 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Differdange
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7
Wiltz
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
25 Jul
Wiltz
0 : 9
Eupen
Page 1 of 7

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1
UNA Strassen
16 Aug
Bissen
0 : 4
Progres Niedercorn
09 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3