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Wimborne vs Havant & Waterlooville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
6 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
McQuoid J.
17' Event
Seager R.
28' Event

AI Match Summary

Wimborne host Havant & Waterlooville in the Southern League Premier South. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Wimborne at 1.59 goals for, 1.3 against; Havant & Waterlooville at 1.35 for, 1.96 against. Past meetings favor Havant & Waterlooville slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.63) point toward Wimborne. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Wimborne
20%
Draws
6%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wimborne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Havant & Waterlooville haven't matched Wimborne's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Wimborne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Havant & Waterlooville have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Wimborne Clean Sheet 20%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wimborne Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Wimborne
4:0
Aug 12, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Havant & Waterlooville
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Wimborne
2:0
Feb 11, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wimborne Compare

Top Goalscorer McQuoid J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Seager R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wimborne 40 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wimborne Havant & Waterlooville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wimborne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havant & Waterlooville let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Wimborne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Wimborne's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Wimborne VS Havant & Waterlooville
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wimborne

(Home)
03 Oct
Crowborough
1 : 2
Wimborne
29 Sept
Wimborne
4 : 0
Yate
26 Sept
Moneyfields
1 : 3
Wimborne
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Wimborne
Page 1 of 6

Havant & Waterlooville

(Away)
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
08 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
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