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Wimborne vs Portchester

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Bustamante M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Wimborne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Wimborne
30%
Draws
35%
Portchester
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Portchester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Wimborne's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Portchester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wimborne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wimborne Clean Sheet 18%
Portchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wimborne Portchester
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 FA Trophy
Wimborne vs Portchester
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wimborne Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustamante M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Portchester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wimborne 40 / 100
Portchester 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wimborne Portchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wimborne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wimborne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Wimborne's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Portchester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Wimborne VS Portchester
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Wimborne

(Home)
12 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 0
Bracknell Town
08 Sept
Portishead Town
1 : 3
Wimborne
05 Sept
Wimborne
0 : 0
Portishead Town
31 Aug
Uxbridge
0 : 0
Wimborne
29 Aug
Wimborne
0 : 0
Hanworth Villa
Page 1 of 6

Portchester

(Away)
05 Sept
Portchester
2 : 1
Portland United
28 Aug
Portchester
1 : 3
Whitstable Town
25 Oct
Wimborne
1 : 0
Portchester
04 Oct
Portchester
2 : 1
Taunton Town
20 Sept
Portchester
3 : 0
Tavistock
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sudbury 2
Leiston 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Bradford PA 2
Morpeth 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Leek Town 3
Bromsgrove 0
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Basingstoke 1
Dorchester 2
Brentwood 3
Welling 0
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Alvechurch 1
Worcester 0
Real Bedford 3
Ashford United 2
Redditch 1
Gainsborough 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Chester -
TBD -
Clitheroe 4
Stockton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Canvey Island 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Stanway Rovers 1
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Farnham 3
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 1
Portchester 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Chatham 2
Plymouth Parkway 2
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Salisbury -
Harborough 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Bath City -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 1
Banbury 0
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester 1
Bamber Bridge 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 4
Stratford 0
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Corby 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 2
Cray Valley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 0
Stortford 5
Wingate & Finchley 0
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Tilbury 1
Hadley 0
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
St. Albans 0
Hanwell Town 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 3
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Marine -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Stocksbridge 3
Slough Town -
TBD -
Gloucester City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Walton & Hersham 5
Hendon 1
TBD -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 4
TBD -
AFC Totton -
South Shields -
TBD -
Dunston 1
Hebburn Town 0
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Prescot Cables 2
Guiseley 1
1/64-finals
Sudbury 1
Hereford 5
Radcliffe 3
Bradford PA 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Spennymoor 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton 2
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Dover Ath. 2
Dorchester 0
Brentwood 0
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 1
Telford 2
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
Alvechurch 2
Real Bedford 1
Gainsborough 1
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Oxford City 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Chester 0
Clitheroe 1
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
King’s Lynn 2
Harrow Borough 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Chelmsford 0
Horsham FC 2
Farnham 0
Wimborne 0
Chatham 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 3
Harborough 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Bath City 2
Bracknell Town 1
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
United of Manchester 3
Darlington FC 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Anstey Nomads 1
Chorley 2
Worksop 3
Kidderminster 3
Corby 0
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet 2
Sittingbourne 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Cheshunt 2
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tilbury 0
Merthyr Town 2
Hanwell Town 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington 2
Maidenhead 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Stocksbridge 0
Slough Town 1
Gloucester City 2
Tonbridge 0
Worthing FC 4
Walton & Hersham 2
Farnborough 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
AFC Totton 2
South Shields 6
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 1
Prescot Cables 0
1/32-finals
Hereford 2
Radcliffe 1
Solihull Moors 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 1
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Dover Ath. 1
Hornchurch 4
Telford 4
Altrincham 3
Yeovil 2
Maidstone 1
Alvechurch 3
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe 5
Peterborough Sports 0
Clitheroe 2
York City 1
Leatherhead 3
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead 0
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Harborough 1
Carlisle 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Bath City 2
Southend 4
Truro 0
Halifax 4
United of Manchester 0
Hartlepool 1
Anstey Nomads 2
Worksop 0
Kidderminster 1
Gateshead 0
Morecambe 3
Ebbsfleet 3
Braintree 1
Forest Green 4
Weston-super-Mare 0
Wealdstone 2
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. 3
Hanwell Town 1
Tamworth 2
Boston United 1
Leamington 0
Rochdale 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 4
Worthing FC 3
Walton & Hersham 4
Sutton 1
Boreham Wood 3
Brackley 4
Woking 2
AFC Totton 0
South Shields 0
Macclesfield 1
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 0
Southport 2
Hornchurch 1
Telford 2
Yeovil 1
Alvechurch 0
Scunthorpe 3
Clitheroe 1
Leatherhead 2
Horsham FC 3
Chatham 1
Carlisle 0
Bath City 1
Southend 3
Halifax 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Kidderminster 6
Morecambe 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Forest Green 2
Wealdstone 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Tamworth 2
Rochdale 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Brackley 0
Woking 2
Macclesfield 1
1/8-finals
AFC Fylde 0
Southport 1
Telford 0
Yeovil 2
Scunthorpe 1
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 0
Southend 1
Halifax 1
Kidderminster 2
Forest Green 0
Wealdstone 3
Tamworth 0
Marine 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Woking 2
Quarter-finals
Southport 2
Yeovil 1
Horsham FC 1
Southend 2
Kidderminster 1
Wealdstone 2
Marine 1
Woking 0
Semi-finals
Southport 1
Southend 3
Wealdstone 1
Marine 0
Final
Southend 1
Wealdstone 0