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Wingate & Finchley vs St. Albans

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wingate & Finchley play St. Albans in the Isthmian League Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wingate & Finchley averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. St. Albans averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Wingate & Finchley won 1, St. Albans won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.13 for St. Albans. This points to a St. Albans double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Wingate & Finchley
18%
Draws
43%
St. Albans
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: St. Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wingate & Finchley picked up more points recently compared to St. Albans.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 21%
St. Albans Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wingate & Finchley St. Albans
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs St. Albans
2:0
Dec 27, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
St. Albans vs Wingate & Finchley
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartlett-Antwi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Restrepo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

St. Albans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wingate & Finchley 39 / 100
St. Albans 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wingate & Finchley St. Albans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Albans or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wingate & Finchley attacking → ← attacking St. Albans

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wingate & Finchley scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

St. Albans let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Wingate & Finchley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. Albans lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 40
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727