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Winterthur II vs Mendrisio

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Winterthur II play Mendrisio in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Winterthur II averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Mendrisio averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Winterthur II won 3, Mendrisio won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Winterthur II and 1.44 for Mendrisio. This points to a Mendrisio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Winterthur II
17%
Draws
43%
Mendrisio
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mendrisio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Winterthur II picked up more points recently compared to Mendrisio.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Winterthur II Clean Sheet 16%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur II Mendrisio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
0:2
Sep 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
4:2
May 24, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Winterthur II
3:4
Apr 20, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Mendrisio
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur II 39 / 100
Mendrisio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur II Mendrisio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mendrisio or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Winterthur II attacking → ← attacking Mendrisio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winterthur II scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Mendrisio let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Winterthur II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mendrisio lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 42
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Young Fellows Juventus30234381:2673
2Tuggen30194774:5261
3Taverne30186654:3160
4Wettswil-Bonstetten30185774:3659
5Dietikon301281054:4744
6Freienbach301271153:5343
7Baden301181158:5241
8Mendrisio301171242:4440
9Winterthur II301091161:5439
10Collina d'Oro301091146:4439
11Kosova30991254:5536
12Eschen/Mauren307111235:5132
13St. Gallen II30951647:6632
14FC Widnau30761734:6327
15Hongg30671732:6225
16SV Schaffhausen30352224:8714