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Winterthur vs Luzern

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Winterthur Logo

Winterthur

0 - 3
FT
Luzern Logo

Luzern

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Bajrami A.
39' Event
Kabwit O.
Assist: Dantas Fernandes R.
45'
Citherlet T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Winterthur and Luzern finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Winterthur
35%
Draws
27%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Luzern carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Winterthur a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 18%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Luzern
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.55 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Luzern vs Winterthur
3:2
May 16, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Luzern
0:3
Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Winterthur
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Winterthur
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Luzern
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterthur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabwit O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dorn P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 85 / 100
Luzern 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Winterthur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Winterthur has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Winterthur scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Luzern has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Luzern
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
21 Aug
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

Luzern

(Away)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
22 Aug
Luzern
1 : 0
Lausanne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Luzern 38 14 11 13 76:66 53
8 Servette 38 13 14 11 71:63 53
9 Lausanne 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
10 Zurich 38 11 5 22 49:72 38
11 Grasshoppers 38 8 9 21 48:74 33
12 Winterthur 38 5 8 25 44:100 23
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Challenge League (Main)