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Winterthur vs Union Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Odin Y.
60' Event
Kemlein A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Winterthur
15%
Draws
18%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Winterthur lately — more wins on the board than Union Berlin.
  • Win probability leans Winterthur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 20%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Union Berlin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Union Berlin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Odin Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Union Berlin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 85 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Winterthur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winterthur found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Union Berlin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Winterthur went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Union Berlin
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
30 Sept
Seuzach
1 : 4
Winterthur
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
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Union Berlin

(Away)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
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