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Stadium Background

Winterthur vs Union Berlin

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Odin Y.
60' Event
Kemlein A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Winterthur
35%
Draws
30%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Berlin lately — more wins on the board than Winterthur.
  • Win probability leans Winterthur's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterthur Union Berlin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Union Berlin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Odin Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Union Berlin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterthur 56 / 100
Union Berlin 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterthur Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Union Berlin conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Winterthur's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Winterthur stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Winterthur VS Union Berlin
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Winterthur

(Home)
07 Aug
Winterthur
5 : 0
Wil
31 Jul
Kriens
2 : 0
Winterthur
24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2
Yverdon
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Bruhl SG
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Union Berlin

(Away)
09 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 2
Aris Limassol
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
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