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Winterton Rangers vs Louth Town

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Winterton Rangers play Louth Town in the Club Friendly 2023. Louth Town are favorites here. Recently, Winterton Rangers averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. Louth Town averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Winterton Rangers won 0, Louth Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 22, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Winterton Rangers and 1.94 for Louth Town. This points to a Louth Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Winterton Rangers
25%
Draws
60%
Louth Town
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Louth Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Winterton Rangers picked up more points recently compared to Louth Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Winterton Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Louth Town Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winterton Rangers Louth Town
Matches Played 11 1
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 0
Goals Scored 1.09 2
Goals Conceded 2.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Winterton Rangers vs Louth Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winterton Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ture J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Louth Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradbury C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winterton Rangers 16 / 100
Louth Town 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winterton Rangers Louth Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louth Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Louth Town & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Winterton Rangers attacking → ← attacking Louth Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winterton Rangers scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Louth Town let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Winterton Rangers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Louth Town lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 3
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00