Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wisla II vs Chelmianka Chelm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Okoniewski K.
67' Event
Cichocki P.

AI Match Summary

Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Wisla II
35%
Draws
53%
Chelmianka Chelm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelmianka Chelm have won more games recently than Wisla II.
  • Chelmianka Chelm are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chelmianka Chelm have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Wisla II Clean Sheet 16%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wisla II Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.64 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisla II
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:4
Mar 21, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisla II
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wisla II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoniewski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cichocki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisla II 11 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wisla II Chelmianka Chelm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wisla II's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Wisla II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wisla II VS Chelmianka Chelm
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wisla II

(Home)
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 6

Chelmianka Chelm

(Away)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Wislanie Skawina 11 5 2 4 15:11 17
7 Jaroslaw 11 5 2 4 27:20 17
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 11 4 2 5 14:15 14
9 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
10 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
11 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
12 Wisla II 11 3 4 4 13:16 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)