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Wisla II vs Jaroslaw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wisla II host Jaroslaw in the III Liga - Group IV. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Wisla II have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Jaroslaw's 2.26 scored and 1.7 conceded. Past meetings favor Wisla II slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2016, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 2.00) back Jaroslaw to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Wisla II
30%
Draws
54%
Jaroslaw
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Jaroslaw at 2.26 per game, Wisla II at 1.66.
  • Model gives Jaroslaw a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wisla II Clean Sheet 10%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wisla II Jaroslaw
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.66 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2016 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Wisla II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisla II 10 / 100
Jaroslaw 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wisla II Jaroslaw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Wisla II scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Wisla II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wisla II VS Jaroslaw
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wisla II

(Home)
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 6

Jaroslaw

(Away)
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Wislanie Skawina 11 5 2 4 15:11 17
7 Jaroslaw 11 5 2 4 27:20 17
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 11 4 2 5 14:15 14
9 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
10 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
11 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
12 Wisla II 11 3 4 4 13:16 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)