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Wismar vs Mahlsdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026
Wismar Logo

Wismar

2 - 0
FT
Mahlsdorf Logo

Mahlsdorf

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wismar in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wismar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Wismar
15%
Draws
53%
Mahlsdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mahlsdorf lately — more wins on the board than Wismar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wismar Clean Sheet 19%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wismar Mahlsdorf
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Wismar vs Mahlsdorf
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Wismar
2:1
May 17, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Wismar vs Mahlsdorf
3:4
Nov 24, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Wismar
2:2
May 12, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Wismar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wismar 32 / 100
Mahlsdorf 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wismar Mahlsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahlsdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wismar found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Mahlsdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Wismar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wismar VS Mahlsdorf
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wismar

(Home)
25 Sept
Wismar
1 : 4
Hansa Rostock II
18 Sept
FSV Schwerin
1 : 2
Wismar
13 Sept
TB Berlin
1 : 0
Wismar
29 Aug
Wismar
1 : 2
TUS Makkabi
16 Aug
Stendal
2 : 3
Wismar
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Mahlsdorf

(Away)
26 Sept
Mahlsdorf
3 : 1
FSV Schwerin
20 Sept
Berliner AK 07
1 : 0
Mahlsdorf
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Mahlsdorf
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 22 1 7 85:32 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 19 4 7 77:45 61
3 Hansa Rostock II 30 18 3 9 66:49 57
4 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 5 9 62:38 53
5 Klosterfelde 30 15 7 8 59:43 52
6 Siedenbollentin 30 13 8 9 59:59 47
7 Mahlsdorf 30 13 7 10 50:49 46
8 TUS Makkabi 30 14 2 14 57:55 44
9 Wismar 30 12 5 13 56:55 41
10 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 12 3 15 77:72 39
11 Rathenow 30 9 10 11 41:47 37
12 TB Berlin 30 10 6 14 44:58 36
13 Berliner AK 07 30 11 3 16 50:66 36
14 Dynamo Schwerin 30 7 10 13 41:47 31
15 Croatia Berlin 30 5 4 21 39:81 19
16 Viktoria Berlin 30 3 4 23 42:109 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost (Main)