Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wismut Gera vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bondarenko N.
69' Event
Schubert F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025 game between Wismut Gera and Bautzen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wismut Gera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Wismut Gera
30%
Draws
70%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bautzen come out ahead of Wismut Gera on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bautzen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wismut Gera Clean Sheet 15%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wismut Gera Bautzen
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 12
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wismut Gera vs Bautzen
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Wismut Gera
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wismut Gera Compare

Top Goalscorer Bondarenko N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bautzen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wismut Gera 27 / 100
Bautzen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wismut Gera Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bautzen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wismut Gera scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bautzen has conceded goals in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bautzen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wismut Gera

(Home)
26 Jul
Auerbach
8 : 2
Wismut Gera
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Wismut Gera
3 : 4
Auerbach
25 May
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Wismut Gera
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magdeburg II 30 23 6 1 88:25 75
2 Krieschow 30 16 7 7 75:42 55
3 Halle 30 16 7 7 65:42 55
4 Rsv Eintracht 30 17 3 10 67:37 54
5 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
6 Freital 30 15 4 11 54:47 49
7 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 62:55 48
8 Bischofswerdaer 30 12 10 8 38:40 46
9 Bautzen 30 10 8 12 57:58 38
10 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 57:72 36
11 Sandersdorf 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
12 Grimma 30 9 7 14 50:65 34
13 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 8 7 15 50:58 31
14 Wismut Gera 30 9 4 17 50:78 31
15 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 6 7 17 40:79 25
16 Ludwigsfelder 30 1 4 25 17:74 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)