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WIT Georgia vs FC Gardabani

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Shevardeni Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

WIT Georgia play FC Gardabani in the Liga 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, WIT Georgia averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. FC Gardabani averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, WIT Georgia won 3, FC Gardabani won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 5, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for WIT Georgia and 1.13 for FC Gardabani. This points to a WIT Georgia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
WIT Georgia
27%
Draws
20%
FC Gardabani
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: WIT Georgia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • WIT Georgia picked up more points recently compared to FC Gardabani.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
WIT Georgia Clean Sheet 21%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WIT Georgia FC Gardabani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Liga 3
WIT Georgia vs FC Gardabani
0:0
Nov 13, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs WIT Georgia
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Liga 3
WIT Georgia vs FC Gardabani
2:2
Nov 13, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs FC Gardabani
2:0
Sep 26, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gardabani vs WIT Georgia
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WIT Georgia 52 / 100
FC Gardabani 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WIT Georgia FC Gardabani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIT Georgia Win (1)
Secondary Pick WIT Georgia & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

WIT Georgia attacking → ← attacking FC Gardabani

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WIT Georgia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FC Gardabani let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

WIT Georgia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Gardabani lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 23
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443