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WIT Georgia vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Shevardeni Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Gambarashvili N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between WIT Georgia and Guria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward WIT Georgia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
WIT Georgia
20%
Draws
52%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of WIT Georgia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guria a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
WIT Georgia Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WIT Georgia Guria
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 16 20
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.84 2.69
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga 3
WIT Georgia vs Guria
1:0
Nov 25, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Guria
1:0
Sep 22, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs WIT Georgia
0:1
Jun 22, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Guria
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs WIT Georgia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

WIT Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambarashvili N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WIT Georgia 10 / 100
Guria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WIT Georgia Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WIT Georgia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: WIT Georgia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Guria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

WIT Georgia VS Guria
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

WIT Georgia

(Home)
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
WIT Georgia
26 Aug
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
20 Aug
Khobi
3 : 2
WIT Georgia
12 Aug
WIT Georgia
1 : 1
Margveti 2006
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Guria

(Away)
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5
Guria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tbilisi 2025 21 14 7 0 54:13 49
2 Guria 21 15 3 3 61:11 48
3 Iberia 1999 2 21 10 8 3 31:16 38
4 Merani Tbilisi 21 11 5 5 35:25 38
5 WIT Georgia 21 10 5 6 35:22 35
6 Gonio 21 10 5 6 31:22 35
7 Orbi 21 10 4 7 36:23 34
8 Didube 21 9 6 6 32:26 33
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 21 9 5 7 34:28 32
10 Margveti 2006 21 8 3 10 27:35 27
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 21 6 7 8 25:28 25
12 Khobi 21 6 3 12 27:43 21
13 FC Gardabani 21 4 4 13 18:50 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 21 1 9 11 20:44 12
15 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 21 2 4 15 16:54 10
16 Betlemi Keda 21 2 4 15 11:53 10
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)