Sport Picks

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WIT Georgia vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Shevardeni Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Gambarashvili N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between WIT Georgia and Guria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward WIT Georgia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
WIT Georgia
6%
Draws
90%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of WIT Georgia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
WIT Georgia Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WIT Georgia Guria
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.75 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga 3
WIT Georgia vs Guria
1:0
Nov 25, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Guria
1:0
Sep 22, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs WIT Georgia
0:1
Jun 22, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Guria
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs WIT Georgia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

WIT Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambarashvili N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guria Compare

Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WIT Georgia 10 / 100
Guria 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WIT Georgia Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

WIT Georgia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Guria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

WIT Georgia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

WIT Georgia VS Guria
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

WIT Georgia

(Home)
26 Jun
Dmanisi
0 : 3
WIT Georgia
21 Jun
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
WIT Georgia
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
28 May
Didube
1 : 0
WIT Georgia
21 May
WIT Georgia
0 : 1
Orbi
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Guria

(Away)
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
20 May
Guria
6 : 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443
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