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Stadium Background

Woking vs Brighton U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Kingfield Stadium, Woking
Tue, Nov 25, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Howell H. In: Belmont J.
Out: Howell H.
46'
Sub
Ward M. In: Drewe A.
Out: Ward M.
56' Event
Ibrahim Y.
Assist: Tasker C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Woking advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Woking
15%
Draws
68%
Brighton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brighton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Very High Confidence
  • Woking carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Brighton U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Woking have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brighton U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Woking Clean Sheet 18%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Woking Brighton U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.67
Goals Conceded 1 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Woking vs Brighton U21
2:1
Oct 1, 2024 National League Cup
Woking vs Brighton U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Woking Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Brighton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Woking 10 / 100
Brighton U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Woking Brighton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Woking found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Brighton U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Woking has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Woking VS Brighton U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Woking

(Home)
08 Aug
Woking
0 : 3
Sutton
25 Jul
Woking
0 : 2
Reading
21 Jul
Braintree
1 : 0
Woking
14 Jul
Woking
1 : 2
Portsmouth
11 Jul
Sholing
1 : 2
Woking
Page 1 of 6

Brighton U21

(Away)
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Brighton U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Brighton U21
04 May
Brighton U21
3 : 0
West Ham U21
24 Apr
Ipswich U21
1 : 2
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)