Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wolfratshausen vs Bogen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Wolfratshausen and Bogen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bogen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Wolfratshausen
15%
Draws
12%
Bogen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfratshausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Wolfratshausen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wolfratshausen a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Bogen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Wolfratshausen Clean Sheet 10%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfratshausen Bogen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.48 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Wolfratshausen vs Bogen
0:1
Jul 16, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Wolfratshausen
1:0
Mar 28, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Wolfratshausen
5:1
Aug 7, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Wolfratshausen vs Bogen
3:3
May 16, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Wolfratshausen vs Bogen
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfratshausen 83 / 100
Bogen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfratshausen Bogen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolfratshausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wolfratshausen's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bogen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Bogen has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wolfratshausen VS Bogen
1.75 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfratshausen

(Home)
18 May
Wolfratshausen
0 : 1
Kirchanschoring
12 May
Wolfratshausen
3 : 0
Vilzing
05 May
Holzkirchen
3 : 0
Wolfratshausen
28 Apr
Wolfratshausen
2 : 1
Munich 1860 II
21 Apr
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
3 : 1
Wolfratshausen
Page 1 of 7

Bogen

(Away)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pullach 34 21 10 3 73:32 73
2 Unterfohring 34 21 6 7 62:42 69
3 Pipinsried 34 18 9 7 55:38 63
4 TSV Schwabmunchen 34 17 9 8 54:43 60
5 Dachau 34 18 6 10 56:49 60
6 Vilzing 34 14 10 10 47:48 52
7 Heimstetten 34 15 7 12 68:52 52
8 Kirchanschoring 34 13 9 12 40:39 48
9 Sonthofen 34 12 11 11 55:44 47
10 Rain/Lech 34 13 7 14 64:58 46
11 Ismaning 34 10 12 12 52:52 42
12 Kottern-St. Mang 34 10 9 15 64:72 39
13 Hankofen-Hailing 34 8 11 15 36:57 35
14 Wolfratshausen 34 10 4 20 44:66 34
15 Landsberg 34 9 7 18 46:65 34
16 Regensburg II 34 10 3 21 53:56 33
17 Bogen 34 8 7 19 34:62 31
18 Gundelfingen 34 6 9 19 39:67 27
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)