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Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wolfsberger AC host Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Wolfsberger AC at 2.54 goals for, 1.36 against; Sturm Graz at 2 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Wolfsberger AC slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.88) back Sturm Graz to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Wolfsberger AC
15%
Draws
64%
Sturm Graz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturm Graz come out ahead of Wolfsberger AC on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sturm Graz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wolfsberger AC Clean Sheet 10%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.54 2
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC
1:3
May 24, 2025 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfsberger AC 10 / 100
Sturm Graz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wolfsberger AC scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Sturm Graz has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Wolfsberger AC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wolfsberger AC VS Sturm Graz
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfsberger AC

(Home)
18 Oct
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 2
Tirol
11 Oct
Altach
3 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
02 Oct
Wolfsberger AC
2 : 1
ASK Voitsberg
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
12 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 3
Rapid Vienna
Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz

(Away)
18 Oct
Sturm Graz
6 : 1
Grazer AK
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
10 Oct
Austria Vienna
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
02 Oct
Sturm Graz
3 : 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 9 8 0 1 26:8 24
2 Salzburg 9 6 3 0 21:4 21
3 LASK Linz 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
4 Sturm Graz 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Ried 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
6 Tirol 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
7 Hartberg 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
8 Grazer AK 9 2 3 4 7:22 9
9 A. Lustenau 9 2 2 5 11:19 8
10 Austria Vienna 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Altach 9 2 0 7 8:15 6
12 Wolfsberger AC 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)