Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wolfsburg vs Paderborn

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Muller R.
60'
Sub
Klaas S. In: Tigges S.
Out: Klaas S.
60'
Sub
Muller R. In: Batzner N.
Out: Muller R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Wolfsburg
20%
Draws
33%
Paderborn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wolfsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paderborn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wolfsburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Paderborn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wolfsburg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 14%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfsburg Paderborn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.79 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Wolfsburg
2:1
May 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn
0:0
Jan 4, 2022 Club Friendly
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn
5:4
Feb 2, 2020 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Wolfsburg
2:4
Aug 31, 2019 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Paderborn
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfsburg 84 / 100
Paderborn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfsburg Paderborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolfsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Wolfsburg scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Paderborn let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Wolfsburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wolfsburg VS Paderborn
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfsburg

(Home)
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1
Darmstadt
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 5
Wolfsburg
24 Aug
Altglienicke
3 : 4
Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 6

Paderborn

(Away)
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Wolfsburg 1
Paderborn 2