Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wolfsburg W vs Freiburg W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg W Logo

Wolfsburg W

3 - 1
FT
Freiburg W Logo

Freiburg W

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Beerensteyn L.
41'
Csillag A.
46'
Sub
Dijkstra C. In: Bergsvand G.
Out: Dijkstra C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Wolfsburg W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Wolfsburg W
15%
Draws
39%
Freiburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfsburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wolfsburg W come out ahead of Freiburg W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wolfsburg W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Wolfsburg W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wolfsburg W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Wolfsburg W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wolfsburg W Clean Sheet 12%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfsburg W Freiburg W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 25 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.56 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Wolfsburg W
2:4
Dec 5, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Wolfsburg W vs Freiburg W
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Wolfsburg W vs Freiburg W
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Wolfsburg W
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Wolfsburg W vs Freiburg W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wolfsburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beerensteyn L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zicai C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nachtigall S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfsburg W 35 / 100
Freiburg W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfsburg W Freiburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wolfsburg W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Freiburg W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Wolfsburg W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wolfsburg W VS Freiburg W
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfsburg W

(Home)
13 Sept
VfB Stuttgart W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
02 Sept
Inter W
4 : 1
Wolfsburg W
30 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 2
Wolfsburg W
26 Aug
Wolfsburg W
2 : 0
Inter W
Page 1 of 7

Freiburg W

(Away)
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1
Freiburg W
14 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
VfB Stuttgart W 0
Mainz W 2
TBD -
Union Berlin W -
Chemie Leipzig W 3
Freiburg-St. Georgen W 2
TBD -
Carl Zeiss Jena W -
Holstein Kiel W 0
Meppen W 1
TBD -
SC Sand W -
Neubrandenburg W 0
VfR Warbeyen W 8
TBD -
Koln W -
FSV Babelsberg W 1
Buntentor W 2
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
Borussia Pankow W 0
Hannover W 6
TBD -
Freiburg W -
Weinberg W 2
Greuther Furth W 3
TBD -
Hoffenheim W -
Viktoria Berlin W 2
Bochum W 1
TBD -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Gutersloh W 0
Magdeburg W 2
TBD -
Hamburger W -
Elversberg W 2
Fortuna Koln W 1
TBD -
Bayer Leverkusen W -
Saalfeld Titans W 0
Ingolstadt W 23
TBD -
1.FC Nurnberg W -
Dortmund W 3
B. Monchengladbach W 1
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
Montabaur W 3
Siegelbach W 0
TBD -
Potsdam W -
VfL Herrenberg W 0
Kickers Offenbach W 2
TBD -
SGS Essen W -
Karlsruher W 0
Andernach W 4
TBD -
RB Leipzig W -
Solingen-Aufderhohe W 0
SC Victoria Hamburg W 6
TBD -
Werder Bremen W -
1/16-finals
Mainz W 0
Union Berlin W 2
Chemie Leipzig W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 5
Meppen W 0
SC Sand W 3
VfR Warbeyen W 0
Koln W 6
Buntentor W 0
Wolfsburg W 11
Hannover W 0
Freiburg W 4
Greuther Furth W 1
Hoffenheim W 2
Viktoria Berlin W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 3
Magdeburg W 0
Hamburger W 3
Elversberg W 0
Bayer Leverkusen W 5
Ingolstadt W 3
1.FC Nurnberg W 2
Dortmund W 0
Bayern Munich W 2
Montabaur W 0
Potsdam W 3
Kickers Offenbach W 0
SGS Essen W 7
Andernach W 0
RB Leipzig W 7
SC Victoria Hamburg W 0
Werder Bremen W 7
1/8-finals
Union Berlin W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 1
SC Sand W 3
Koln W 2
Wolfsburg W 3
Freiburg W 1
Hoffenheim W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W 6
Hamburger W 2
Bayer Leverkusen W 1
Ingolstadt W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
Potsdam W 0
SGS Essen W 1
RB Leipzig W 1
Werder Bremen W 2
Quarter-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 4
SC Sand W 1
Wolfsburg W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 0
Hamburger W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
SGS Essen W 1
Werder Bremen W 0
Semi-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 0
Wolfsburg W 1
Bayern Munich W 4
SGS Essen W 0
Final
Wolfsburg W 0
Bayern Munich W 4