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Stadium Background

Wolfsburg W vs RB Leipzig W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Chmielinski G.
Assist: Baum L.
46'
Sub
Vallotto S. In: Endemann V.
Out: Vallotto S.
58' Event
Minge J.
Assist: Beerensteyn L.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Wolfsburg W and RB Leipzig W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wolfsburg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Wolfsburg W
15%
Draws
31%
RB Leipzig W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolfsburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • RB Leipzig W haven't matched Wolfsburg W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives RB Leipzig W a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Wolfsburg W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Wolfsburg W Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolfsburg W RB Leipzig W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.25 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly Women
RB Leipzig W vs Wolfsburg W
1:3
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Wolfsburg W vs RB Leipzig W
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Wolfsburg W
1:3
Jul 17, 2025 Club Friendly Women
RB Leipzig W vs Wolfsburg W
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Wolfsburg W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wolfsburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattwein L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Minge J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

RB Leipzig W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chmielinski G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolfsburg W 18 / 100
RB Leipzig W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolfsburg W RB Leipzig W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wolfsburg W scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

RB Leipzig W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Wolfsburg W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wolfsburg W VS RB Leipzig W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolfsburg W

(Home)
15 Aug
Bayern Munich W
3 : 0
Wolfsburg W
09 Aug
Werder Bremen W
1 : 2
Wolfsburg W
01 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 3
Wolfsburg W
23 Jul
Wolfsburg W
2 : 0
PSV W
19 Jul
Meppen W
2 : 3
Wolfsburg W
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RB Leipzig W

(Away)
15 Aug
RB Leipzig W
10 : 1
Carl Zeiss Jena W
12 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 2
Paris FC W
09 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 1
PEC Zwolle W
01 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 3
Wolfsburg W
21 Jul
Salzburg W
1 : 4
RB Leipzig W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)