Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Kimura A.
32'
32'
O'Driscoll A.
37'
37'
Koop B.
AI Match Summary
Manly Utd in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manly Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manly Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Wollongong haven't matched Manly Utd's recent run of results.
- Model gives Manly Utd a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wollongong | Manly Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Manly Utd
0:4
May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Wollongong
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Manly Utd
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Wollongong
6:0
Aug 25, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Manly Utd
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wollongong Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Manly Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Kimura A.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Driscoll A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wollongong 10 / 100
Manly Utd 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wollongong Manly Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Wollongong scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Manly Utd conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Wollongong has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wollongong VS Manly Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wollongong
(Home) 30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 3
Manly Utd
(Away) 06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1 Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2 Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1 Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2 Manly Utd
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
