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Wollongong vs NWS Spirit

Australia Australia

NPL NSW WIN Stadium, Wollongong
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AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Wollongong and NWS Spirit finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Wollongong
15%
Draws
53%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NWS Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NWS Spirit come out ahead of Wollongong on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on NWS Spirit taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 11%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong NWS Spirit
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Wollongong
2:0
Mar 15, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs NWS Spirit
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs NWS Spirit
1:1
May 3, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Wollongong
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs NWS Spirit
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 10 / 100
NWS Spirit 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong NWS Spirit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Spirit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wollongong scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: NWS Spirit conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wollongong remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS NWS Spirit
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wollongong

(Home)
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
Wollongong
Page 1 of 6

NWS Spirit

(Away)
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)