Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wollongong vs Parramatta Eagles

Australia Australia

NPL NSW 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Montgomery N.
50' Event
Price C.
90' Event
Antelmi P.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW 2017 game between Wollongong and Parramatta Eagles finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wollongong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Wollongong
15%
Draws
34%
Parramatta Eagles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wollongong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Wollongong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 11%
Parramatta Eagles Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong Parramatta Eagles
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.31 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2017 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Parramatta Eagles
3:0
Mar 11, 2017 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Wollongong
3:0
Aug 6, 2016 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Wollongong
0:1
May 15, 2016 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Parramatta Eagles
3:4
Jul 12, 2015 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Parramatta Eagles
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wollongong Compare

Top Goalscorer Montgomery N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Price C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Parramatta Eagles Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 30 / 100
Parramatta Eagles 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong Parramatta Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Parramatta Eagles conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Wollongong scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Away concern: Parramatta Eagles has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS Parramatta Eagles
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wollongong

(Home)
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
Wollongong
Page 1 of 7

Parramatta Eagles

(Away)
11 Sept
Prospect United
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
04 Sept
Parramatta Eagles
4 : 1
Prospect United
14 Feb
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
13 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
05 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 22 16 1 5 50:18 49
2 Blacktown City 22 14 5 3 45:22 47
3 Manly Utd 22 13 3 6 47:36 42
4 Rockdale Ilinden 22 12 6 4 42:28 42
5 Sydney Olympic 22 12 4 6 35:23 40
6 Wollongong 22 12 1 9 35:28 37
7 Sydney Utd 22 10 4 8 42:27 34
8 Hakoah Sydney 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 22 5 4 13 31:50 19
10 Sutherland Sharks 22 5 1 16 29:55 16
11 Sydney FC U21 22 6 2 14 34:52 14
12 Parramatta Eagles 22 1 3 18 16:60 6
Promotion - Northern NSW 2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)