Sport Picks
Wollongong vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW WIN Stadium, Wollongong 
Match Events
27'
27'
Katrib E.
Own Goal
51'
51'
Hernandez S.
62'
62'
Beattie M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Wollongong and Western Sydney Wanderers U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wollongong.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wollongong
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Western Sydney Wanderers U21's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Wollongong have produced (1.21).
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wollongong | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3:0
May 9, 2026 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Wollongong
0:0
Jun 17, 2023 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Wollongong
2:2
Mar 5, 2023 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1:0
Sep 27, 2020 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wollongong Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beattie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wollongong 30 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wollongong Western Sydney Wanderers U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wollongong found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wollongong VS Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wollongong
(Home) 30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 3
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
(Away) 30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2 St George Saints
08 Aug
SD Raiders
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1 UNSW
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
08 Aug
SD Raiders
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
25 Jul
NWS Spirit
0 : 4 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
12 Jul
Marconi Stallions
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
