Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wolves U23 vs Aston Villa U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Perry T.
35' Event
Campbell C.
46'
Sub
Hodge J. In: Lembikisa D.
Out: Hodge J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Wolves U23 and Aston Villa U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wolves U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Wolves U23
15%
Draws
17%
Aston Villa U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolves U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wolves U23 come out ahead of Aston Villa U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Wolves U23 a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wolves U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wolves U23 Aston Villa U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2022 Premier League 2
Wolves U23 vs Aston Villa U23
3:0
Oct 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Wolves U23
0:0
Apr 2, 2021 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Wolves U23
4:0
Oct 19, 2020 Premier League 2
Wolves U23 vs Aston Villa U23
1:3
Apr 8, 2019 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Wolves U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wolves U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perry T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wolves U23 85 / 100
Aston Villa U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wolves U23 Aston Villa U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolves U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aston Villa U23 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Wolves U23's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Wolves U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wolves U23 VS Aston Villa U23
2.5 Goals Scored 1.57
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.57
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Wolves U23

(Home)
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
17 May
Wolves U23
2 : 1
Norwich U23
13 May
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Wolves U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
29 Apr
Norwich U23
0 : 2
Wolves U23
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Aston Villa U23

(Away)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)