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Worcester vs Needham Market

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Smalley B.

AI Match Summary

Worcester in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Worcester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Worcester
35%
Draws
32%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Needham Market have won more games recently than Worcester.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Worcester taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Worcester Clean Sheet 17%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester Needham Market
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Needham Market
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Worcester
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worcester Compare

Top Goalscorer Smalley B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Needham Market Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester 41 / 100
Needham Market 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester Needham Market

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Worcester scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Needham Market's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Worcester has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Worcester VS Needham Market
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
11 Aug
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Worcester
08 Aug
Stratford
1 : 1
Worcester
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Merthyr Town
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
10 Jul
Worcester
0 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 6

Needham Market

(Away)
11 Aug
Hitchin
1 : 3
Needham Market
08 Aug
Needham Market
1 : 3
Bromsgrove
24 Jul
Felixstowe & Walton
1 : 1
Needham Market
25 Apr
Needham Market
0 : 2
Banbury
18 Apr
Quorn
2 : 2
Needham Market
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)