Sport Picks
Worcester vs Spalding United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
Pugh T.
42'
42'
Cybulski B.
48'
48'
Stoddart L.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Worcester and Spalding United finished 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spalding United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spalding United come out ahead of Worcester on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Spalding United's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Worcester Clean Sheet 15%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Worcester | Spalding United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Spalding United
4:4
Dec 13, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Worcester
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Worcester Compare
Top Goalscorer Stoddart L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guinan Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Spalding United Compare
Top Goalscorer Cybulski B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pugh T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Worcester 23 / 100
Spalding United 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Worcester Spalding United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spalding United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Worcester found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Spalding United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Worcester remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Worcester VS Spalding United
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Worcester
(Home) 03 Oct
Kettering
1 : 3 Worcester
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2 Worcester
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0 Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1 Stratford
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0 Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1 Stratford
08 Sept
Worcester
1 : 0 Knowle
31 Aug
Worcester
0 : 1 Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 3
Spalding United
(Away) 06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0 Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Hanley Town
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Spalding United
22 Aug
Chester
1 : 0 Spalding United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
