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Worcester W vs Coventry Sphinx W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2022/2023
Sun, Nov 13, 2022
3 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Coventry Sphinx W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Worcester W
15%
Draws
42%
Coventry Sphinx W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worcester W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Worcester W come out ahead of Coventry Sphinx W on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Worcester W taking it.
  • Worcester W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coventry Sphinx W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Worcester W Clean Sheet 10%
Coventry Sphinx W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worcester W Coventry Sphinx W
Matches Played 7 5
Wins 3 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.57 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2022 Women’s FA Cup
Worcester W vs Coventry Sphinx W
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worcester W 56 / 100
Coventry Sphinx W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester W Coventry Sphinx W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worcester W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coventry Sphinx W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Worcester W scored in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Coventry Sphinx W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Worcester W VS Coventry Sphinx W
2 Goals Scored 1.6
2.57 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 80%
57% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester W

(Home)
23 Nov
Leafield Athletic W
2 : 1
Worcester W
26 Oct
Port Vale W
1 : 2
Worcester W
24 Nov
West Brom W
6 : 0
Worcester W
03 Nov
Stamford W
2 : 3
Worcester W
26 Nov
Worcester W
0 : 3
Milton Keynes Dons W
Page 1 of 2

Coventry Sphinx W

(Away)
26 Oct
Coventry Sphinx W
0 : 6
Derby W
27 Nov
Coventry Sphinx W
1 : 5
Solihull Moors W
13 Nov
Worcester W
3 : 4
Coventry Sphinx W
08 Jan
Coventry Sphinx W
0 : 1
Peterborough Northern Star W
11 Dec
Crusaders W
0 : 3
Coventry Sphinx W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cheadle Town W 3
York City W 2
Tranmere W 0
Burnley W 9
Norwich W 2
Enfield Town W 0
Sutton Coldfield Town W 2
Leafield Athletic W 1
Gwalia United W 4
Bridgwater W 0
Weymouth W 0
Keynsham Town W 5
Bournemouth Sports W 5
Pucklechurch W 0
Warminster W 0
Torquay W 2
Luton W 0
Ipswich W 7
Royston Town W 2
London Seaward W 3
Portishead Town W 2
Eastleigh W 0
Exeter W 4
Bournemouth W 2
Lewes W -
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Ebbsfleet W 1
Southampton Women's W 2
Hackney W 0
London Bees W 4
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Boldmere St Michaels W 1
Peterborough W 2
Stourbridge W 1
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Durham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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Watford W 7
Fulham W 1
Moneyfields W 2
Haywards Heath W 3
Blackburn W -
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Sunderland W -
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Manchester United W -
Selsey W 1
AFC Wimbledon W 5
Billericay W 12
King’s Lynn W 0
Aylesford W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 3
Millwall W 2
Gillingham W 3
Charlton W -
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Milton Keynes Dons W 8
Mulbarton Wanderers W 1
Worthing FC W 8
Sutton W 0
Everton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Doncaster W 0
Huddersfield W 3
Norton & Stockton W 1
Durham Cestria W 4
Fleetwood Town W 1
Liverpool Feds W 5
United of Manchester W 1
Merseyrail W 4
Asfordby W 3
Lichfield City W 5
West Brom W 4
Crewe W 0
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Brighton W -
Coventry United W -
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Consett W 2
Warrington W 1
Stockport W 7
Penrith W 3
Dartford W 3
Ascot United W 2
Colney Heath W 1
Hashtag W 10
Clapton Community W 1
Ashford United W 2
AFC Stoneham W 0
Actonians W 3
Hull City W 1
Newcastle Utd W 2
AFC Darwen W 1
Barnsley W 5
Shrewsbury W 2
Wolverhampton W 8
Northampton W 6
Dronfield Town W 2
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West Ham W -
Aston Villa W -
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Worcester W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 4
Sedgley & Gornal W 0
Solihull Moors W 5
Alnwick Town W 1
AFC Fylde W 4
Middlesbrough W 2
Bradford City W 1
Bristol City W -
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Southampton FC W -
Bishops Lydeard W 0
Liskeard Athletic W 1
Oxford Utd W 6
Chesham W 1
Swindon W 3
Frampton Rangers W 0
Plymouth W 4
Cheltenham W 2
Manchester City W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
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Lye Town W 1
Wem Town W 4
Oughtibridge W 0
Nottingham W 6
Tottenham W -
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London City Lionesses W -
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Abingdon Town W 0
Portsmouth W 4
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Needham Market W 0
Leicester W -
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Reading W -
Chelsea W -
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Liverpool W -
Arsenal W -
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Wallsend W 1
Redcar Town W 2
Leeds W 1
Brighouse Town W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 3
Sheffield FC W 0
Stoke City LFC W 2
Derby W 1
1/64-finals
Cheadle Town W 0
Burnley W 1
Norwich W 3
Sutton Coldfield Town W 2
Gwalia United W 6
Keynsham Town W 0
Bournemouth Sports W 3
Torquay W 2
Ipswich W 3
London Seaward W 0
Portishead Town W 2
Exeter W 0
Lewes W -
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Southampton Women's W 0
London Bees W 3
Sporting Khalsa W 1
Peterborough W 2
TBD -
Durham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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Watford W 6
Haywards Heath W 0
Blackburn W -
TBD -
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Sunderland W -
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Manchester United W -
AFC Wimbledon W 2
Billericay W 0
Dulwich Hamlet W 1
Gillingham W 2
Charlton W -
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Milton Keynes Dons W 3
Worthing FC W 2
Everton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Huddersfield W 3
Durham Cestria W 0
Liverpool Feds W 4
Merseyrail W 0
Lichfield City W 0
West Brom W 8
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Brighton W -
Coventry United W -
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Consett W 1
Stockport W 6
Dartford W 0
Hashtag W 2
Ashford United W 1
Actonians W 3
Newcastle Utd W 2
Barnsley W 1
Wolverhampton W 5
Northampton W 0
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West Ham W -
Aston Villa W -
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Coventry Sphinx W 1
Solihull Moors W 5
AFC Fylde W 5
Middlesbrough W 4
Bristol City W -
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Southampton FC W -
Liskeard Athletic W 0
Oxford Utd W 13
Swindon W 0
Plymouth W 3
Manchester City W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
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Wem Town W 1
Nottingham W 5
Tottenham W -
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London City Lionesses W -
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Portsmouth W 7
Bowers & Pitsea W 0
Leicester W -
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Reading W -
Chelsea W -
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Liverpool W -
Arsenal W -
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Redcar Town W 2
Leeds W 7
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Stoke City LFC W 3
1/32-finals
Burnley W 1
Norwich W 0
Gwalia United W 5
Bournemouth Sports W 0
Ipswich W 7
Portishead Town W 0
Lewes W 5
London Bees W 0
Peterborough W 0
Durham W 1
Crystal Palace W 5
Watford W 1
Blackburn W 0
Sunderland W 1
TBD -
Manchester United W -
AFC Wimbledon W 1
Gillingham W 0
Charlton W 3
Milton Keynes Dons W 1
Everton W -
TBD -
Birmingham W 4
Huddersfield W 0
Liverpool Feds W 2
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Brighton W -
Coventry United W 4
Stockport W 2
Hashtag W 3
Actonians W 0
Newcastle Utd W 1
Wolverhampton W 5
TBD -
West Ham W -
Aston Villa W -
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Solihull Moors W 2
AFC Fylde W 5
Bristol City W 2
Southampton FC W 0
Oxford Utd W 3
Plymouth W 0
Manchester City W -
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Sheffield Utd W 3
Nottingham W 0
Tottenham W -
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London City Lionesses W 1
Portsmouth W 0
Leicester W -
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Reading W -
Chelsea W -
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Liverpool W -
Arsenal W -
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Leeds W 3
Stoke City LFC W 1
1/16-finals
Burnley W 1
Gwalia United W 4
Ipswich W 0
Lewes W 1
Durham W 3
Crystal Palace W 0
Sunderland W 1
Manchester United W 2
AFC Wimbledon W 1
Charlton W 5
Everton W 0
Birmingham W 1
West Brom W 0
Brighton W 7
Coventry United W 4
Hashtag W 0
Wolverhampton W 0
West Ham W 2
Aston Villa W 11
AFC Fylde W 0
Bristol City W 4
Oxford Utd W 0
Manchester City W 7
Sheffield Utd W 0
Tottenham W 5
London City Lionesses W 0
Leicester W 2
Reading W 3
Chelsea W 3
Liverpool W 2
Arsenal W 9
Leeds W 0
1/8-finals
Gwalia United W 1
Lewes W 6
Durham W 0
Manchester United W 5
Charlton W 0
Birmingham W 1
Brighton W 5
Coventry United W 0
West Ham W 1
Aston Villa W 2
Bristol City W 1
Manchester City W 8
Tottenham W 0
Reading W 1
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 0
Quarter-finals
Lewes W 1
Manchester United W 3
Birmingham W 0
Brighton W 2
Aston Villa W 2
Manchester City W 1
Reading W 1
Chelsea W 3
Semi-finals
Manchester United W 3
Brighton W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Chelsea W 1
Final
Manchester United W 0
Chelsea W 1