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Workington vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Walker J.
85' Event
Dickenson B.
88'
Mitchell A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Workington
35%
Draws
38%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cleethorpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Workington lately — more wins on the board than Cleethorpes.
  • Model gives Workington a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Workington Clean Sheet 14%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Workington Cleethorpes
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.67 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Workington
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Workington Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickenson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cleethorpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Workington 35 / 100
Cleethorpes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Workington Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Workington found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Cleethorpes let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Workington has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Workington VS Cleethorpes
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Workington

(Home)
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3
Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2
Blyth Spartans
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Hyde
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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