Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Workington vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Walker J.
85' Event
Dickenson B.
88'
Mitchell A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Workington
30%
Draws
31%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Workington lately — more wins on the board than Cleethorpes.
  • Model gives Workington a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Workington Clean Sheet 15%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Workington Cleethorpes
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Workington
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Workington Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickenson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cleethorpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Workington 41 / 100
Cleethorpes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Workington Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Workington found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Workington has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cleethorpes has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Workington VS Cleethorpes
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Workington

(Home)
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3
Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2
Blyth Spartans
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 11 7 4 0 22:8 25
2 Cleethorpes 11 7 3 1 26:7 24
3 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
4 Workington 11 6 2 3 21:17 20
5 Guiseley 10 6 1 3 22:11 19
6 Warrington Rylands 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
7 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
8 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
9 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
10 Lancaster 11 5 1 5 13:19 16
11 Alfreton 11 5 0 6 17:13 15
12 Hyde 11 4 2 5 13:20 14
13 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
14 Whitby 10 4 0 6 15:26 12
15 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
16 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Quorn 10 2 3 5 16:25 9
19 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
20 Stockton 11 2 2 7 14:22 8
21 Ilkeston 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)