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Workington vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Cleethorpes have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Workington have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.67. Head-to-head, Workington have won 0 to Cleethorpes's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.75, favoring Cleethorpes. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Workington
30%
Draws
47%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cleethorpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Workington lately — more wins on the board than Cleethorpes.
  • Win probability leans Cleethorpes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Workington have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Workington Clean Sheet 12%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Workington Cleethorpes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Workington
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Workington 10 / 100
Cleethorpes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Workington Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Workington scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Workington has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cleethorpes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Workington VS Cleethorpes
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Workington

(Home)
17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2
Workington
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2
Whitby
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0
Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
20 Oct
Guiseley
2 : 1
Cleethorpes
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0
Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Hyde
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
Bury FC -
Prescot Cables -
Workington -
Cleethorpes -
Leek Town -
Bootle -
Ashton United -
Redcar Athletic -
Bridlington Town -
Curzon Ashton -
Avro -
Hyde -
Redditch -
Gloucester City -
Mickleover -
Alfreton -
Anstey Nomads -
Bromsgrove -
Evesham -
Halesowen -
Loughborough Students -
Stourbridge -
Bourne -
Banbury -
Kettering -
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Erith Town -
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Whitehawk -
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Aveley -
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