Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Allan J.
45'
45'
Swinglehurst S.
85'
85'
Leslie K.
AI Match Summary
Workington in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hednesford lately — more wins on the board than Workington.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Workington taking it.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Workington Clean Sheet 68%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Workington | Hednesford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Hednesford
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Workington
2:0
Dec 1, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Hednesford
4:2
Sep 15, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Workington
2:0
Oct 14, 2017 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Workington
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Allan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Swinglehurst S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Hednesford Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Workington 95 / 100
Hednesford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Workington Hednesford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Workington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Workington's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Hednesford has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Workington VS Hednesford
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Workington
(Home) 12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Warrington Rylands
15 Aug
Workington
2 : 2 Guiseley
Page 1 of 3
Hednesford
(Away) 12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
28 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 1 Harborough
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Telford
1 : 1 Hednesford
08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
