Sport Picks
Workington vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
3'
3'
Hunter L.
48'
48'
Barnes C.
52'
52'
Hunter L.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Workington and Leek Town finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leek Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leek Town's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Workington have produced (1.66).
- Model gives Leek Town a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Workington | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Leek Town
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Leek Town
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Workington
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Workington
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Leek Town
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunter L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Barnes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Leek Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Workington 22 / 100
Leek Town 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Workington Leek Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Workington found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Leek Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Workington stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Workington VS Leek Town
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Workington
(Home) 17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
Page 1 of 3
Leek Town
(Away) 17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2 Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1 Hyde
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1 Leek Town
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2 Leek Town
05 Sept
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 5 Leek Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37:27 | 28 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:33 | 19 |
| 14 | Hyde | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 17 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:26 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | 10 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | 7 |
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