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Workington vs Mickleover

England England

NPL Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Stephenson T.
74' Event
Symington D.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Pani C.

AI Match Summary

Workington in this NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Workington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Workington
15%
Draws
39%
Mickleover
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Workington have won more games recently than Mickleover.
  • Win probability leans Workington's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Workington Clean Sheet 20%
Mickleover Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Workington Mickleover
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.28 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Mickleover
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Mickleover vs Workington
1:3
Apr 2, 2019 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Mickleover
0:1
Nov 3, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Mickleover vs Workington
1:0
Mar 24, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Mickleover vs Workington
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Workington Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephenson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pani C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mickleover Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Workington 42 / 100
Mickleover 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Workington Mickleover

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Workington scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Mickleover's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Workington remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Workington VS Mickleover
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Workington

(Home)
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Warrington Rylands
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2
Workington
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1
Workington
15 Aug
Workington
2 : 2
Guiseley
11 Aug
Workington
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Mickleover

(Away)
28 Jul
Worksop
1 : 0
Mickleover
06 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 3
Basford Utd.
26 Apr
Mickleover
2 : 0
Prescot Cables
21 Apr
Ashton United
2 : 0
Mickleover
18 Apr
Mickleover
1 : 0
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 42 35 4 3 109:30 109
2 Worksop 42 26 5 11 96:51 83
3 Stockton 42 23 6 13 66:47 75
4 Guiseley 42 20 14 8 67:45 74
5 Ashton United 42 20 9 13 72:58 69
6 Ilkeston 42 18 12 12 69:56 66
7 Gainsborough 42 18 10 14 58:53 64
8 Morpeth 42 16 14 12 57:61 62
9 Hyde 42 14 15 13 59:63 57
10 Prescot Cables 42 16 9 17 49:54 57
11 Warrington Rylands 42 14 14 14 60:53 56
12 Workington 42 15 7 20 61:65 52
13 Bamber Bridge 42 15 7 20 65:70 52
14 Hebburn Town 42 13 13 16 60:65 52
15 Leek Town 42 14 10 18 47:55 52
16 Whitby 42 15 7 20 55:71 52
17 United of Manchester 42 12 15 15 55:62 51
18 Lancaster 42 12 15 15 52:63 51
19 Matlock 42 10 15 17 59:69 42
20 Mickleover 42 10 9 23 41:75 39
21 Basford Utd. 42 10 7 25 50:79 37
22 Blyth Spartans 42 3 9 30 38:100 18
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)