Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Nadesan A.
32'
32'
Jenks T.
AI Match Summary
Worthing FC in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Worthing FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Worthing FC haven't matched Chelmsford's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Worthing FC have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 14%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Worthing FC | Chelmsford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 National League South
Worthing FC vs Chelmsford
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Worthing FC
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Worthing FC
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 National League South
Worthing FC vs Chelmsford
1:1
Mar 4, 2024 National League South
Chelmsford vs Worthing FC
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Worthing FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Nadesan A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jenks T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Chelmsford Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Worthing FC 30 / 100
Chelmsford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Worthing FC Chelmsford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Worthing FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Worthing FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Chelmsford has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Worthing FC VS Chelmsford
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Worthing FC
(Home) 21 Jul
Worthing FC
1 : 0 QPR U21
18 Jul
Frome Town
1 : 1 Worthing FC
10 Jul
Bournemouth U21
2 : 2 Worthing FC
04 Jul
Selsey
0 : 3 Worthing FC
25 Apr
Worthing FC
2 : 0 Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Worthing FC
1 : 0 QPR U21
25 Apr
Worthing FC
2 : 0 Ebbsfleet
11 Apr
Worthing FC
7 : 2 Dagenham & Red.
03 Apr
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Eastbourne Borough
14 Mar
Worthing FC
2 : 0 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 3
Chelmsford
(Away) 14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
11 Jul
Stortford
1 : 3 Chelmsford
25 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 3 Eastbourne Borough
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
14 Apr
Hornchurch
3 : 3 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
11 Jul
Stortford
1 : 3 Chelmsford
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
14 Apr
Hornchurch
3 : 3 Chelmsford
06 Apr
Dagenham & Red.
3 : 3 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)