Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Worthing FC vs Ebbsfleet

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Cook J.
53' Event
Coleman De-Graft R.

AI Match Summary

Worthing FC in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Worthing FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Worthing FC
30%
Draws
27%
Ebbsfleet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / High Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet haven't matched Worthing FC's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Worthing FC taking it.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Worthing FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC Ebbsfleet
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Worthing FC vs Ebbsfleet
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Worthing FC
1:2
Mar 7, 2023 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Worthing FC
7:2
Dec 6, 2022 National League South
Worthing FC vs Ebbsfleet
0:6
Oct 20, 2018 FA Cup
Ebbsfleet vs Worthing FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Worthing FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coleman De-Graft R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ebbsfleet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC 49 / 100
Ebbsfleet 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC Ebbsfleet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Worthing FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ebbsfleet has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Worthing FC VS Ebbsfleet
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Worthing FC

(Home)
01 Aug
Worthing FC
3 : 0
Horsham FC
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Brighton U21
24 Jul
Enfield Town
1 : 1
Worthing FC
21 Jul
Worthing FC
1 : 0
QPR U21
18 Jul
Frome Town
1 : 1
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

Ebbsfleet

(Away)
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)