Sport Picks

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Worthing FC W vs Hounslow W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022
Sun, Nov 14, 2021
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Worthing FC W play Hounslow W in the Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022. Worthing FC W are favorites here. Recently, Worthing FC W averaged 3.11 goals scored and 2 conceded. Hounslow W averaged 0.23 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. In past meetings, Worthing FC W won 0, Hounslow W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 14, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.88 for Worthing FC W and 1.00 for Hounslow W. This points to a Worthing FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
Worthing FC W
15%
Draws
13%
Hounslow W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worthing FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Worthing FC W picked up more points recently compared to Hounslow W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.88 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Worthing FC W Clean Sheet 23%
Hounslow W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Worthing FC W Hounslow W
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 29
Goals Scored 3.11 0.23
Goals Conceded 2 4.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Worthing FC W vs Hounslow W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Worthing FC W 69 / 100
Hounslow W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worthing FC W Hounslow W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Worthing FC W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Worthing FC W attacking → ← attacking Hounslow W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Worthing FC W scored in 100% of their last 9 games.

Hounslow W let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Worthing FC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hounslow W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 3
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00