Sport Picks
Wrexham vs Stoke City
England
Championship 2025/2026 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham 
Match Events
31'
31'
Windass J.
Assist: Thomason G.
33'
33'
Windass J.
46'
46'
Sub
Cresswell A. In: Rak-Sakyi J.
Out: Cresswell A.
AI Match Summary
Wrexham in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wrexham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wrexham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Wrexham lately — more wins on the board than Stoke City.
- Model gives Wrexham a 40% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Stoke City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 20%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wrexham | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Stoke City
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
Stoke City vs Wrexham
1:0
Jul 17, 2019 Club Friendly
Wrexham vs Stoke City
1:3
Jul 22, 2015 Club Friendly
Wrexham vs Stoke City
0:6
Jan 4, 2015 FA Cup
Stoke City vs Wrexham
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Windass J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Stoke City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wrexham 40 / 100
Stoke City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wrexham Stoke City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wrexham found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Stoke City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Wrexham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wrexham VS Stoke City
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wrexham
(Home) 02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1 Wrexham
11 Jul
Wisla
0 : 0 Wrexham
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2 Leeds
02 May
Wrexham
2 : 2 Middlesbrough
18 Apr
Wrexham
2 : 0 Stoke City
07 Apr
Wrexham
1 : 5 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City
(Away) 01 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 1 Valencia
28 Jul
Stoke City
1 : 0 Everton
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
10 Jul
Stoke City
0 : 1 Braga
02 May
Bristol City
2 : 0 Stoke City
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
02 May
Bristol City
2 : 0 Stoke City
18 Apr
Wrexham
2 : 0 Stoke City
06 Apr
Derby
2 : 0 Stoke City
20 Mar
Preston
3 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
